Hi friends, I read with interest this article in the New York Times:
The key point, reflected in the first two paragraphs, is this:
There are basically three big questions about artificial intelligence and its impact on the economy: What can it do? Where is it headed? And how fast will it spread?
Three new reports combine to suggest these answers: It can probably do less right now than you think. But it will eventually do more than you probably think, in more places than you probably think, and will probably evolve faster than powerful technologies have in the past.
In terms of social impact, I found this line particularly interesting:
The McKinsey Global Institute published a report on Wednesday about automation and jobs, sketching out different paths the technology might take and its effect on workers, by job category in several countries. One finding: Up to one third of the American work force will have to switch to new occupations by 2030, in about a dozen years.
That is incredible! Transitioning one third of the American work force in twelve years would be a massive shift.
For me, this will very much raise the question of how connected and prepared our churches are to support members who need to make these wrenching journeys. Like the story of Joseph, it is wise to build up reserve funds so that people are cared for in times of famine. Understandably, there will also be incredible demand (and a huge voting bloc) for the government to respond to this situation. In addition to that response, I think this is an opportunity for the church to demonstrate wise, sacrificial leadership for the good of the community.
Here are the other websites mentioned in the article:
Future of Work (McKinsey):
National Bureau of Economic Research. “Artificial Intelligence and the Modern Productivity Paradox: A Clash of Expectations and Statistics” http://www.nber.org/papers/w24001